From a first glance it looks as no brainer at all: the Saints lost 6 straight and 8 out of 9 away – so why this one should be any different? The Lions boast top defense in NFL, the line is Detroit -2.5 – a mere FG and the Saints – even when leading in the fourth quarter – have blown up the leads. Ok. Now let’s look at the other side of the coin: Drew Brees owns Detroit: he is 4-0 as a starter against them, completing 75.2 percent of his passes for an average of 379.3 yards with 14 TDs and one interception for a 133.8 rating. IOn addition – the Saints are coming off a bye week and will not throw away the game in the fourth for a third time if they will get there leading. Add to that an inviting -2/5 line for the Lions – the line that almost never covers for the team when given a FG spread as LVSC are not stupid to throw a ML option away and grant us a low juice spread that is almost equal to a ML win outcome wise. Another thing is that the weakness demonstrated by the Saints this season will not continue as they will come back with a signature win and what a better place to do it than Detroit where they like to play so much. I will buy a half a point for an insurance although if no choice – I would easily accept +2.5 lline as well for the Saints.
This is a 5 Units Play
NO Saints +3 -140