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Pick Author: October 18th, 2014

NFL Week 7: DET Lions vs NO Saints

Game Date Home Team Away Team Pick Units Odds State Invested Return Profit
10/19/2014 DET Lions NO Saints Away +3 5 -140 Win 700 1200 500

From a first glance it looks as no brainer at all: the Saints lost 6 straight and 8 out of 9 away – so why this one should be any different? The Lions boast top defense in NFL, the line is Detroit -2.5 – a mere FG and the Saints – even when leading in the fourth quarter – have blown up the leads. Ok. Now let’s look at the other side of the coin: Drew Brees owns Detroit: he is 4-0 as a starter against them, completing 75.2 percent of his passes for an average of 379.3 yards with 14 TDs and one interception for a 133.8 rating.  IOn addition – the Saints are coming off a bye week and will not throw away the game in the fourth for a third time if they will get there leading. Add to that an inviting -2/5 line for the Lions  – the line that almost never covers for the team when given a FG spread as LVSC are not stupid to throw a ML option away and grant us a low juice spread that is almost equal to a ML win outcome wise. Another thing is that the weakness demonstrated by the Saints this season will not continue as they will come back with a signature win and what a better place to do it than Detroit where they like to play so much. I will buy a half a point for an insurance although if no choice – I would easily accept +2.5 lline as well for the Saints.

This is a 5 Units Play

NO Saints +3  -140

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