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Pick Author: February 7th, 2014

NCAAB Thursday: Utah vs Washington Totals

Game Date Home Team Away Team Pick Units Odds State Invested Return Profit
02/06/2014 Utah Washington Under 141 1 -110 Loss 110 0 -110

This play is based purely on RLM. The line released by LVSC was based on Utah’s home scoring vs Washington’s road defense (79) and Washington’s road scoring vs Utah’s home defense (64). 79+64=143. But the books doctored the line to 141 and later lowered it to 139. The explanation lies withing the line of the game: Utah -9.5. Now, if the line would not be doctored – I’d say that Washington is going to score more than 64 (because in case the books/Vegas/LVSC believed that ATS is 9.5 points and the game is expected to end at 76-67 or 77-67), but since it was doctored down to 141 (and then I believe the sharps and wise guys joined in with big bucks understanding what is cooking – lowering it with the books happy cooperation to 139) – I believe it is Utah who is expected to score less. I’ll buy two points back to first doctored level here.

Under 141  -140

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