Handicapping Vegas Part 1
As an experienced sports handicapper in particular and an inquisitive person in general – I made myself a rule never to take anything for granted. If I get some information or the stats about certain sporting event – first of all I have to check it’s authenticity and be 100% sure I am not being “had”.
Now, in order to intelligently handicap a sporting event – you have to make sure the stats and the info you receive are coming from different sources and they can be crosschecked before you can really depend on them or consider them as the part of your handicapping tool.
That is the way LVSC handicaps the games and creates the lines and the odds which later are conveyed to the books and we receive them after the books have doctored them and adjusted them with an updated information they receive from their sources.
Only after that we can actually begin handicap the games closely following the line changes as well as the odds going up and down, betting trends and the numbers of the bettors on various sides of the bets as well as the money thrown in support of each side, Money line, totals or the props.
When I handicap my games – I make sure I know it all. I have to know what were the opening lines and the odds. I have to know what number of the early bettors (sharps) jumped on what side of the bet. I have to distinct between the sharps and early markets. I have to know how the odds are moving and if there is a reverse line movement (RLM). I have to know what are the hidden stats. Because an obvious stats are available for all and if only an obvious stats would be a factor – then everyone who reads them would be winners.
Since all the info I described above except the hidden stats are available for most – and I can list the sources for all of the publicly available stats – the HIDDEN STATS are the game changer.
And that info is not publicly available. It is never free.
I would not touch it if it was free.
Because if it was free – that would be another tool Vegas uses to lead the sheep to the slaughter.
Since I’m being asked repeatedly what kind of a site and what kind of the hidden stats am I talking about – here it is premium stats and systems