When you take a look at the games scheduled for week 7 – this one stands out in its oddity: the Chargers who are on 5 game winning streak and won all 3 at home, with Rivers in an excellent form – are actually an Underdog according to a line movement and the public sentiment against the Chiefs who are 2-3 and are prone to long non scoring periods during the game. The line moved from -5.5 home to -4 due to several reasons. SD -5.5 was released by LVSC and was doctored by the books quickly to -4.5 which also came down half a point due to heavy betting on the Chiefs because of several reasons: the games between the teams have been close in most of the recent ones, the Chargers are still short handed against the rested Chiefs who are coming off a bye week and Andy Reid’s ability to adjust his games especially to each opponents offensive and defensive games. In this game he will try to shorten the offensive abilities of the Chargers as well as utilizing on running abilities of the Chiefs. Most of the Chargers wins came against the teams with limited running abilities except the one against the defending Super Bowl Champions the Seahawks while the Chiefs had much tougher schedule than the Chargers having to play in Denver and SF where they lost by a TD in Denver and 5 points in SF.
The game is projected at 23-19 score wise but the totals line is 45.5. That brings me to a conclusion that 5-1 ATS Chargers will have a hard time against the Chiefs but eventually will cover the spread of -4. Because of Rivers. Because of playing at home. Because of everyone expecting a close game. Because of being as ready as possible for this one against Reid and because Oakland game was a set up for this one.
This is a 5 Units Play
SD Chargers -4 -110