We have cashed handsomely on the Fins this season being one of the few calling them the most inder rated team in NFL. They covered for us big against the Chargers and did again a week ago against the Bills. Now they are in Denver facing a “struggling” Broncos. Well, the “struggling” Boroncos get to the Red Zone easily at home and their efficiency there stands at amazing 77.4% scoring a TD making them a #1 team in NFL in a Red Zone Efficiency. The Fins are 30th in that category. That is a screaming margin. The Broncos just laid an egg in St Louis and it is hard to believe they will disappoint their fans again. Yes, I know that the Miami defensive players are killing the opposition Quarter Backs with high efficiency and they will try to do it to Peyton Manning in Denver as well, but the Broncos are solid 5-0 at home and they never won a game at home with less than a TD. Peyton Manning wants to show he is a Hall Of Fame kind of a QB and the struggles in ST Louis must be erased after a 3 game away stand when the Denver fans are eager to see their idol destroying the “cocky” opposition. You have to understand the spot the Broncos drove themselves into with the loss to the rams.
“You feel like you’ve let your team down, I didn’t feel like I carried my weight (Sunday). That’s pretty plain and simple.” (PeytonManning).
The Broncos posted their lowest point total in the loss to the Rams.. In the past three seasons, Manning has thrown 10 fewer touchdowns and 10 more interceptions on the road than at home, and the ground game has recorded nine fewer TDs. With Julius Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders and Montee Ball – all sidelined – no wonder the line dropping from 8 to -6.5 and the ATS bets divided half half.
The bottom line is that I will take the Broncos any day at home with public divided and the line dropping expecting the Fins to beat or cover against an injury plagued Broncos.
This is a 5 Units Play
DEN Broncos -6.5 -110