NFL Week 11: TNF JAX Jaguars vs TEN Titans Totals

Handicapping this game at the first glance was not easy at all. Two anti football teams on Thursday Night Football – what a waste of our valuable time and the Prime Time spot… I’m not sure the game is going to generate enough bets for books to worry about it. So, I will try to handicap this game best to my knowledge of the stats that were driven in one direction or another by those teams performance this season.

If we take a deeper look in the stats generated so far – we will be able to notice that the defensive side of both teams is way better than their offensive units. And on top of that the Titans defense is better than that of the Jags.

Tennessee’s Overall Scoring  (18.8 PPG) vs Jacksonville’s Overall Defense (28.3 PPG) is the only outstanding stat here being 27th against the 30th.

Tennessee’s Road Passing (225 YPG) is 23rd vs Jacksonville’s Home Defense (262.3 YPG) which is 19th.

Tennessee’s Road Rushing (122 YPG) is 11th in the league vs Jacksonville’s Home Defense (89.3) which is 7th in the league.

Now let us see how the home team pairs against the visitors in the same categories:

Jacksonville’s Overall Scoring (21.3 PPG) is 23rd vs Tennessee’s Overall Defense (23.8 PPG) which is 19th.

Jacksonville’s Home Passing (232 YPG) is 19th  vs Tennessee’s Road Passing Defense (2275) which is 8th.

And finally – Jacksonville’s Home Rushing is 20th in the league with 105.5 YPG  against Tennessee’s Road Rushing Defense  – the second in the league with 80.8 YPG.

In addition – the line that opened at 44 total points is now 42.

This is a 3 Units Play (not because of low confidence, but because of low level of assurance because of the little money flowing into this game bets)

Under 42  -110